russia tanks ukraine

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Russia Tanks Ukraine

On Tuesday, days after Russian self-propelled artillery rolled into eastern Ukraine in what appeared to be a hostile invasion that Vladimir Putin insisted did not happen, someone took a video of some heavy tanks. near rebel-held areas. the city of Luhansk. Despite the appearance of Russian tanks sent as part of the invasion, Moscow and pro-Russian rebels insist that any heavy equipment was stolen or left behind by the Ukrainian military.

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But now military analysts have looked at the video and say at least one of the tanks could belong to the Russian military, apparently settling the question of whether these are indeed Russian military forces.

Joseph Dempsey, an analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, told the BBC that one of the tanks is the so-called T-72BM, a modern model that can be identified by its unique "Kontakt-5 Explosive" weapon. , and the one Russia has. they are not exported but are largely used by its military. This is a new development that suggests not only that Russia is attacking, but that it is increasingly timid.

Dempsey told the BBC: "Soviet-era tanks operated by separatists are by far the most likely to be found in Ukraine, providing a level of reasonable deniability to any suspected third-party suppliers." That level of reasonable objection is now gone.

Millions of people turn to her to educate themselves, their family and friends about what's going on in the world around them, and to learn about the things that spark their passions. Financial contributions from our readers are an important part of supporting our inventive work and help us make our journalism free for everyone. Please consider making a one-time contribution today. Apparently, Ukraine is not the only country that Russia has been planning to invade in recent years. In the summer of 2020, according to information released by Ukrainian military intelligence, Russia is said to have developed a detailed plan for the invasion and occupation of Belarus.

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"After the falsification of the presidential election in Belarus, the Russian Federation developed a plan to attack and suppress public protests," the Ukrainian Defense Ministry's Intelligence Directorate announced on April 19. To support its claims, Ukrainian intelligence released what it said was a secret Russian military document outlining the right and plan to invade Belarus.

The document warned of the "crisis" situation in Belarus following the presidential election on August 9, 2020. It mentioned the "subversive activities" of exiled opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya from Lithuania and claimed that a "massive information campaign" was underway to gain consensus for violent changes in Belarus. Failure to prevent this, the document claims, could drag Russia into a full-scale war with NATO.

The document describes a "restructuring plan to reorganize the formations and military units of the First Tank Army around the mission" for the flight to Belarus. According to the plan, the troops will deploy "reduced participation in joint exercises of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus."

The authenticity of the information published by Ukraine cannot be independently verified. If true, the claims by Ukrainian intelligence suggest that a full-scale invasion of Belarus was a real possibility in the summer of 2020, less than two years before Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

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The existence of Russian plans to invade Belarus is likely given the strained state of relations between Moscow and Minsk during the August 2020 presidential election in Belarus. Unlike today's close strategic alliance between Vladimir Putin and Alexander Lukashenko, throughout 2019 and the first half of 2020 there was great tension in relations.

Faced with sanctions and a struggling economy, Putin cut Russian subsidies and economic aid to Belarus. Moscow is also pressuring Belarus to make various concessions, such as hosting a new Russian military base on its territory, deeper integration of the country's armed forces and the adoption of an economic integration revitalization project that would effectively end Belarus' independence.

Lukashenko, however, resisted these efforts and tried to improve Minsk's relations with the West. In early 2020, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo traveled to Belarus to "normalize" strained relations with the country.

During a meeting with Belarusian Foreign Minister Uladzimer Makei at the time, Pompeo said: “The United States wants to help Belarus build its own independent state. Energy producers are ready to supply 100 percent of the oil you need at a competitive price. Your nation should not be forced to rely on innovation for prosperity and security.

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There were signs that Russia's GRU military intelligence service and the SVR foreign intelligence service were alarmed by Lukashenko's efforts to preserve Belarus' independence while trying to bring the country closer to the West.

The geographical situation has changed significantly in Moscow's favor in the last two years. Lukashenko's brutal crackdown on the opposition following Belarus's August 2020 presidential election and his estrangement from the West have led to growing dependence on the Kremlin. This seems to have eliminated the need for a full Russian invasion of Belarus.

Putin got everything he wanted in Belarus without firing a single shot. Lukashenko is completely dependent on the Kremlin, which has allowed Russia to remove the so-called "soft attachment" from the country. Belarus became a veritable extension of Russia's Western Military District, allowing Moscow to expand its economic and political footprint in the country.

Belarus also found itself embroiled in Putin's war against Ukraine. Although Minsk has not yet sent any troops to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Lukashenko has allowed Russia to use Belarus as a base for Russian troops and allow Putin to launch airstrikes on Ukrainian cities from there.Belarusian territory.

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This supporting role in the conflict has raised concerns that Russia's dominant position in Belarus is under threat. Public opinion in Belarus is largely against the war in Ukraine, and efforts are underway to cut off the flow of Russian troops by destroying the country's rail network. Meanwhile, hundreds of Belarusians have joined volunteer brigades fighting on the side of Ukraine. As the war continues, the potential for internal instability in Belarus could increase significantly.

During this time, Putin found himself involved in Ukraine. Still, he could refocus on a full takeover of the Belarusian military if public opposition to Belarus' involvement in the invasion of Ukraine continues and threatens to undermine Russia's influence. Based on recent claims by Ukraine, plans for such an operation may already exist.

Brian Whitmore is a non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center, assistant professor of culture at the University of Texas at Arlington, and host of The Power Vertical Podcast.

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BelarusAlert March 22, 2022 Belarusians undermine plans to join Vladimir Putin in Ukraine war Brian Whitmore As Vladimir Putin pressures Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko to join Russia's invasion of Ukraine, ordinary Belarusians are taking action. undermining the war effort and preventing Russian forces from reaching Ukraine.

The views expressed in UkraineAlert are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff or its supporters.

Read more about UkraineAlert UkraineAlert is a comprehensive online publication that provides regular news and analysis on political, economic, civil society and cultural developments in Ukraine.

Ukrainians Are Selling Confiscated Russian Tanks On Ebay

The mission of the Eurasia Center is to strengthen transatlantic cooperation to promote stability, democratic values ​​and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.

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